犯罪时间:环境光照如何影响犯罪

Crime-time: how ambient light affects crime

Journal of Economic Geography · 2022
被引 12
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

利用夏令时政策变化,研究发现傍晚时段增加1小时日照可使抢劫案减少30%,且犯罪并未明显转移,表明环境光照是城市犯罪的关键驱动因素。

Abstract

Abstract This paper studies the effect of sunlight on crime, taking advantage of a daylight saving time (DST) policy. We find a 30% decrease in robberies when the DST transition increases the amount of sunlight by 1 h during the 7–9 p.m. period. We document a symmetric reaction when DST decreases sunlight exposure. We complement these findings by showing that the response induced by DST is not associated with a plausible demand-side response such as the population’s commuting patterns and we find no substantial short-term displacement of crime. Our results show that ambient light is a key driver of criminal activity in urban spaces.

日光犯罪夏令时抢劫