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贵金属市场波动与相关性的经济驱动因素

Economic drivers of volatility and correlation in precious metal markets

Journal of Commodity Markets · 2022
被引 46 · 同刊同年前 8%
ABS 3

中文导读

研究了G7和金砖国家的宏观经济与金融因素如何影响黄金、白银、铂金和钯金的每日波动与相关性,发现美国和中国的经济影响方向相反,股市、贸易平衡和消费者信心是关键驱动因素。

Abstract

We investigate the time-varying dynamics of the precious metal markets. We employ a mixed data sampling technique to identify the impact of macroeconomic and financial drivers from G7 and BRICS countries on the daily volatility and pairwise correlation of Gold, Silver, Platinum, and Palladium. We find that the U.S. and Chinese economies in particular influence the precious metal markets, but in opposite directions. The stock markets and trade balance of both G7 and BRICS countries, as well as the consumer confidence of G7 countries, are the key drivers for the volatility of precious metals. The most influential drivers for correlation are stock markets, money supply, and the inflation rate. Surprisingly, the economic policy uncertainty does not affect the dynamics as much as expected. Lastly, the global financial crisis in 2008 affected the direction of most of the macroeconomic and financial drivers.

贵金属市场波动性宏观经济金融市场G7与金砖国家