专家估计的一致性

AGREEMENT OF EXPERT ESTIMATES

Technological and Economic Development of Economy · 2005
被引 70 · 同刊同年前 2%
人大 A-

中文导读

研究了多准则方法中专家评价一致性系数的应用,发现直接排序法得到的一致性最高,而相同评价值对结果影响不大。

Abstract

The application of multicriteria methods largely depends on the calculation of the criteria weights based on expert evaluation. The results obtained can be used for practical purposes if expert judgments are in good agreement. This may be determined by the concordance of a coefficient obtained by ranking the available alternatives. The paper considers a possibility to apply the concordance coefficient in cases when expert evaluation is not based on ranking. The calculations reveal the dependence of the agreement of expert estimates on a particular method used. The highest degree of agreement has been obtained by using the direct ranking method. The effect of equally assessed criteria, i. e. the tied ranks on the concordance coefficient and thereby on the level of expert judgments agreement is usually insignificant and cannot change the results of rating.

专家评估一致性多准则决策权重计算肯德尔和谐系数