相互依赖的持续时间

Interdependent Durations

Review of Economic Studies · 2010
被引 37
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

研究了一个包含持续时间变量的联立方程模型,其中持续时间由策略性博弈决定,并证明了即使博弈解不唯一,结构参数也能被半参数识别。

Abstract

This paper studies the identification of a simultaneous equation model involving duration measures. It proposes a game theoretic model in which durations are determined by strategic agents. In the absence of strategic motives, the model delivers a version of the generalized accelerated failure time model. In its most general form, the system resembles a classical simultaneous equation model in which endogenous variables interact with observable and unobservable exogenous components to characterize an economic environment. In this paper, the endogenous variables are the individually chosen equilibrium durations. Even though a unique solution to the game is not always attainable in this context, the structural elements of the economic system are shown to be semi-parametrically identified. We also present a brief discussion of estimation ideas and a set of simulation studies on the model.

联立方程模型持续期博弈论半参数识别