A Comparison of Population Estimation Methods: Housing Unit Versus Component II, Ratio Correlation, and Administrative Records
基于佛罗里达州67个县的1980年人口普查数据,比较住房单元法与其他三种常用人口估计方法的精度、偏差和误差分布,发现住房单元法表现不逊于更受推崇的方法。
Abstract The housing unit (HU) method is often characterized as inferior to other methods for estimating the population of states and local areas. We believe this characterization must be challenged. In this article we evaluate population estimates produced by the housing unit method and by three other commonly used methods: component II, ratio correlation, and administrative records. Basing our analysis on 1980 census data from 67 counties in Florida and testing for precision, bias, and the distribution of errors, we find our application of the HU method performs at least as well as the more highly acclaimed methods of local population estimation. Key Words: Population estimation techniquesHousing unit methodLocal population estimatesDemographic methodology