最优货币政策

Optimal Monetary Policy

Review of Economic Studies · 2003
被引 255
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

构建包含价格调整成本和交易摩擦的模型,发现最优货币政策应遵循弗里德曼的低名义利率原则和费雪的价格稳定原则,但凯恩斯摩擦使最优名义利率为正。

Abstract

Optimal monetary policy maximizes the welfare of a representative agent, given frictions in the economic environment. Constructing a model with two sets of frictions—costly price adjustment by imperfectly competitive firms and costly exchange of wealth for goods—we find optimal monetary policy is governed by two familiar principles. First, the average level of the nominal interest rate should be sufficiently low, as suggested by Milton Friedman, that there should be deflation on average. Yet, the Keynesian frictions imply that the optimal nominal interest rate is positive. Second, as various shocks occur to the real and monetary sectors, the price level should be largely stabilized, as suggested by Irving Fisher, albeit around a deflationary trend path. Since expected inflation is roughly constant through time, the nominal interest rate must therefore vary with the Fisherian determinants of the real interest rate. Although the monetary authority has substantial leverage over real activity in our model economy, it chooses real allocations that closely resemble those which would occur if prices were flexible. In our benchmark model, there is some tendency for the monetary authority to smooth nominal and real interest rates. Copyright 2003, Wiley-Blackwell.

最优货币政策名义利率价格稳定通胀趋势