Some Bayesian and Non-Bayesian Procedures for the Analysis of Comparative Experiments and for Small-Area Estimation: Computational Aspects, Frequentist Properties, and Relationships
研究了在非平衡两部件混合线性模型中，用贝叶斯方法预测处理效应和小区域均值，并通过蒙特卡洛模拟证明其频率学派性质优于传统方法，尤其适用于生物等效性试验和卫星数据估算作物面积。
Abstract The estimation of a treatment contrast from experimental data and the estimation of a small-area mean are special cases of the prediction of the realization of a linear combination of fixed and random effects in a possibly unbalanced two-part mixed linear model. In this article a Bayesian approach to point and interval prediction is presented and its computational requirements are examined. Differences between the Bayesian approach and the traditional (classical) approach are discussed in general terms and, in addition, in terms of two examples taken from the literature: (1) the comparison of drug formulations in a bioavailability trial (Westlake) and (2) the estimation of corn-crop areas using satellite data (Battese, Harter, and Fuller). Some deficiencies in the classical approach are pointed out, and the Bayesian approach is considered from a frequentist perspective. It is shown, via a Monte Carlo study, that, for certain (noninformative) choices of the prior distribution, the frequentist properties of the Bayesian prediction procedures compare favorably with those of their classical counterparts and that, in certain situations, they produce different and more sensible answers.