被淹的城市

Flooded Cities

American Economic Journal: Applied Economics · 2020
被引 68
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

利用全球城市的高分辨率洪水地图和夜间灯光数据,研究发现低洼地区虽更易受灾,但经济活动密度更高,且灾后恢复速度与高地相当,除新开发区域外,经济活动并未因洪水而永久迁移。

Abstract

Does economic activity move away from areas that are at high risk of recurring shocks? We examine this question in the context of floods, which displaced more than 650 million people worldwide in the last 35 years. We study large urban floods using spatially detailed inundation maps and night lights data spanning the globe’s cities. We find that low-elevation urban areas are flooded more frequently, and yet they concentrate more economic activity per square kilometer. When cities are flooded, low-elevation areas recover as rapidly as those higher up. With the exception of recently populated urban areas, we find little permanent movement of economic activity in response to floods.

城市洪水经济韧性空间分布灾害恢复