Testing exogeneity in nonparametric instrumental variables models identified by conditional quantile restrictions
提出一个检验非参数工具变量模型中解释变量外生性的方法,不依赖参数模型设定且无需估计结构函数,适用于分位数回归模型,蒙特卡洛实验和实证应用验证了其性能。
Summary This paper presents a test for exogeneity of explanatory variables in a nonparametric instrumental variables (IV) model whose structural function is identified through a conditional quantile restriction. Quantile regression models are increasingly important in applied econometrics. As with mean-regression models, an erroneous assumption that the explanatory variables in a quantile regression model are exogenous can lead to highly misleading results. In addition, a test of exogeneity based on an incorrectly specified parametric model can produce misleading results. This paper presents a test of exogeneity that does not assume that the structural function belongs to a known finite-dimensional parametric family and does not require estimation of this function. The latter property is important because nonparametric estimates of the structural function are unavoidably imprecise. The test presented here is consistent whenever the structural function differs from the conditional quantile function on a set of nonzero probability. The test has nontrivial power uniformly over a large class of structural functions that differ from the conditional quantile function by $O({n^{ - 1/2}})$. The results of Monte Carlo experiments and an empirical application illustrate the performance of the test.