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客户估值

Valuing Customers

Journal of Marketing Research · 2004
被引 823 · 同刊同年前 6%
人大 AFT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

提出一种基于客户价值的公司估值方法,尤其适用于高增长但亏损的企业,并利用公开数据验证了客户留存率、利润率等指标对公司价值的显著影响。

Abstract

It is increasingly apparent that the financial value of a firm depends on off-balance-sheet intangible assets. In this article, the authors focus on the most critical aspect of a firm: its customers. Specifically, they demonstrate how valuing customers makes it feasible to value firms, including high-growth firms with negative earnings. The authors define the value of a customer as the expected sum of discounted future earnings. They demonstrate their valuation method by using publicly available data for five firms. They find that a 1% improvement in retention, margin, or acquisition cost improves firm value by 5%, 1%, and .1%, respectively. They also find that a 1% improvement in retention has almost five times greater impact on firm value than a 1% change in discount rate or cost of capital. The results show that the linking of marketing concepts to shareholder value is both possible and insightful.

市场营销公司金融估值客户关系管理无形资产