反思去工业化

Rethinking deindustrialization

Economic Policy · 2016
被引 89
人大 AABS 3

中文导读

利用丹麦1994-2007年雇主-雇员数据,发现制造业就业下降部分源于企业转向服务业,这些转型企业规模小、生产率高、进口密集,转型后增加值与销售快速增长,其就业占制造业就业的8.7%,解释了半数制造业就业下降。

Abstract

Manufacturing in high-income countries is on the decline and Denmark is no exception. Manufacturing employment and the number of firms have been shrinking as a share of the total and in absolute levels. This paper uses a rich linked employeremployee dataset to examine this decline from 1994 to 2007. We propose a different approach to analyze deindustrialization and generate a series of novel stylized facts about the evolution. While most of the decline can be attributed to firm exit and reduced employment at surviving manufacturers, we document that a non-negligible portion is due to firms switching industries, from manufacturing to services. We focus on this last group of firms before, during, and after their sector switch. Overall this is a group of small, highly productive, import intensive firms that grow rapidly in terms of value-added and sales after they switch. By 2007, employment at these former manufacturers equals 8.7 percent of manufacturing employment, accounting for half the decline in manufacturing employment. We focus on the composition of the workforce as firms make their transition. In addition, we identify two types of switchers: one group resembles traditional wholesalers and another group that retains and expands their R & D and technical capabilities. Our findings emphasize that the focus on employment at manufacturing firms overstates the loss in manufacturingrelated capabilities that are actually retained in many firms that switch industries.

去工业化制造业衰退企业行业转换丹麦制造业