比较现金流与权责发生制会计模型在权益估值中的应用:对Lundholm和O'Keefe的回应(CAR,2001年夏季)

On Comparing Cash Flow and Accrual Accounting Models for Use in Equity Valuation: A Response to Lundholm and O'Keefe (CAR, Summer 2001)

Contemporary Accounting Research · 2001
被引 26
人大 A-FT50ABS 4

中文导读

反驳了现金流与权责发生制会计模型在权益估值中必然等价的说法,指出在有限期预测中,会计选择影响估值结果,因此实证比较有意义。

Abstract

A claim is commonly made that cash flow and accrual accounting methods for valuing equities must always yield equivalent valuations. A recent paper by Lundholm and O'Keefe 2001, for example, claims that, because of this equivalence, there is nothing to be learned from empirical comparison of valuation models. So they dismiss recent research that has shown that accrual accounting residual income models and earnings capitalization models perform, over a range of conditions, better than cash flow or dividend discount models. This paper demonstrates, with examples, that the claim is misguided. Practice inevitably involves forecasting over finite, truncated horizons, and the accounting specified in a model — cash versus accrual accounting in particular — is pertinent to valuation with finite-horizon forecasting. Indeed, the issue of choosing a valuation model is an issue of specifying pro forma accounting, and so, for finite-horizon forecasts, one cannot be indifferent to the accounting.

权益估值现金流模型应计会计模型有限期预测