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使用非对称损失函数的贝叶斯估计与预测

Bayesian Estimation and Prediction Using Asymmetric Loss Functions

Journal of the American Statistical Association · 1986
被引 206
ABS 4

中文导读

针对Varian的非对称LINEX损失函数,推导了多种经典模型的最优估计量和预测量,并证明某些常用估计量(如样本均值、最小二乘回归系数)在该损失下不可容许,存在风险更优的替代估计量。

Abstract

Abstract Estimators and predictors that are optimal relative to Varian's asymmetric LINEX loss function are derived for a number of well-known models. Their risk functions and Bayes risks are derived and compared with those of usual estimators and predictors. It is shown that some usual estimators, for example, a scalar sample mean or a scalar least squares regression coefficient estimator, are inadmissible relative to asymmetric LINEX loss by providing alternative estimators that dominate them uniformly in terms of risk. Key Words: Asymmetric loss functionInadmissibilityEstimationPredictionRisk functionRobustness

贝叶斯统计计量经济学估计理论风险函数