以色列1985年稳定计划,或货币理论的一些简单真理

Israel's Stabilization Program of 1985, Or Some Simple Truths of Monetary Theory

Journal of Economic Perspectives · 1993
被引 55
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

以以色列1985年成功将年通胀率从近500%降至20%以下为例,说明传统货币理论的简单真理,并展示异端政策(结合紧缩措施与工资价格控制)在结束通胀中的优势,同时解释政治环境如何赋予计划可信度。

Abstract

Within a period of two months, and with minimal adverse effects on employment and the real functioning of the economy, Israel's 1985 stabilization program reduced the annual rate of inflation from close to 500 percent to less than 20 percent (corresponding, respectively, to average compounded monthly rates of 16.1 and 1.5 percent) and has maintained that situation until now (1992). The major purpose of this paper is to use this inflationary experience as an illustration of some of the simple truths of traditional monetary theory. At the same time, this experience also illustrates the advantages of a heterodox policy (that is, one that, in addition to restrictive monetary and fiscal measures, makes temporary use of wage and price controls, often within the context of a "social contract") in bringing an inflationary process to an end. A second purpose is to explain the unique political circumstances that—despite the aforementioned earlier failures—created the credibility that enabled the 1985 program to succeed.

以色列稳定计划通货膨胀货币理论异端政策