失业持续时间

Unemployment Duration

Journal of Human Resources · 2003
被引 2
人大 AABS 3

中文导读

在竞争风险框架下研究失业持续时间的决定因素,区分了两种可能无限持续的原因,并发现移动-停留模型比搜索模型更符合数据。

Abstract

Abstract This paper examines the determinants of unemployment duration in a competing risks framework with two destination states: inactivity and employment. The innovation is the recognition of defective risks. A polynomial hazard function is used to differentiate between two possible sources of infinite durations. The first is produced by a random process of unlucky draws, the second by workers rejecting a destination state. The evidence favors the mover-stayer model over the search model. Refinement of the former approach, using a more flexible baseline hazard function, produces a robust and more convincing explanation for positive and zero transition rates out of unemployment.

失业持续时间竞争风险模型缺陷风险多项式风险函数