现时偏向

Present Bias

Econometrica · 2021
被引 25
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

提出弱现时偏向公理,放宽了时间选择中的平稳性假设,以容纳现时偏向导致的偏好反转,并刻画了与之一致的效用函数类别。

Abstract

Present bias is the inclination to prefer a smaller present reward to a larger later reward, but reversing this preference when both rewards are equally delayed. Such behavior violates stationarity of temporal choices, and hence exponential discounting. This paper provides a weakening of the stationarity axiom that can accommodate present‐biased choice reversals. We call this new behavioral postulate Weak Present Bias and characterize the general class of utility functions that is consistent with it. We show that present‐biased preferences can be represented as those of a decision maker who makes her choices according to conservative present‐equivalents, in the face of uncertainty about future tastes.

现时偏向弱现时偏向公理时间偏好跨期选择