费舍尔随机化技术的蒙特卡洛分析:为实验经济学家重振随机化方法

A Monte Carlo Analysis of the Fisher Randomization Technique: Reviving Randomization for Experimental Economists

Experimental Economics · 1998
被引 41
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

通过蒙特卡洛模拟比较精确随机化t检验、t检验和Mann-Whitney U检验,发现精确随机化t检验在检验规模和统计功效上更优,建议实验经济学家更多采用该方法。

Abstract

Abstract Data created in a controlled laboratory setting are a relatively new phenomenon to economists. Traditional data analysis methods using either parametric or nonparametric tests are not necessarily the best option available to economists analyzing laboratory data. In 1935, Fisher proposed the randomization technique as an alternative data analysis method when examining treatment effects. The observed data are used to create a test statistic. Then treatment labels are shuffled across the data and the test statistic is recalculated. The original statistic can be ranked against all possible test statistics that can be generated by these data, and a p -value can be obtained. A Monte Carlo analysis of t -test, the Mann-Whitney U -test, and the exact randomization t -test is conducted. The exact randomization t -test compares favorably to the other two tests both in terms of size and power. Given the limited distributional assumptions necessary for implementation of the exact randomization test, these results suggest that experimental economists should consider using the exact randomization test more often.

Fisher随机化检验蒙特卡洛分析实验经济学非参数检验