Polarized Futures
质疑历史终结论，认为政治体制的未来分布与经济收入一样呈现极化趋势，而非趋同，对经济学和政治学领域有重要启示。
SUMMARY In essence, convergence in the ergodic distribution of political regimes has come to be known as the End of History thesis. This essay argues that, in fact, the end of history is not imminent. The future distribution of political regimes, like that of economic income, shows signs of polarization instead. Jointly, these are significant findings for our field and deserve more attention than they currently garner.