主导策略采纳与竞拍者对定价规则的经验

Dominant Strategy Adoption and Bidders’ Experience with Pricing Rules

Experimental Economics · 2000
被引 73
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

研究发现,参与英式拍卖的经验能显著减少后续第二价格密封拍卖中的过度出价行为,但这种学习效果主要源于对亏损的粗浅认知,而非真正理解主导策略。

Abstract

Abstract Truthful revelation is a dominant strategy in both English (oral ascending bid) and second-price sealed-bid private-values auctions. Controlled observations of English auctions are largely consistent with the dominant strategy prediction, but laboratory second-price auctions exhibit substantial and persistent overbidding, even with prior experience. However, the experience of having bid in an English auction has a significant learning effect, moving bidding in subsequent second-price auctions closer to the dominant strategy. I explore two treatments isolating facets of the lessons learned from English auction participation, leading me to the following conclusions. Part of the lesson carried over appears to be considering prices one-by-one, but most of it appears to be a crude awareness that overbidding leads to losses. A claim that English auction experience teaches subjects to recognize the dominant strategy in second-price auctions seems overly optimistic. I introduce a nonparametric technique to test coefficient restrictions when the assumption of normally distributed errors is untenable.

拍卖理论主导策略经验学习出价行为