政策逆转

Policy Reversal

American Economic Review · 2010
被引 14
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

研究了政策逆转现象,即左翼政府实施右翼政策或反之。通过信号模型,发现执政党因信息优势和声誉保护,可能采取与其立场相悖的政策。

Abstract

We analyze the existence of policy reversal, the phenomenon sometimes observed that a certain policy (say extreme left-wing) is implemented by the “unlikely” (right-wing) party. We formulate a Downsian signaling model where the incumbent government, through its choice of policy, reveals information both regarding own preferences and external circumstances that may call for a particular policy. We show that policy reversal may indeed exist as an equilibrium phenomenon. This is partly because the incumbent party has superior opportunities to reveal information, and partly because its reputation protects a left-wing incumbent when advertising a right-wing policy.

政策逆转信号传递政党声誉信息揭示