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未知阶数自回归移动平均模型中的单位根检验

Testing for Unit Roots in Autoregressive-Moving Average Models of Unknown Order

Biometrika · 1984
被引 431 · 同刊同年前 4%
ABS 4

中文导读

提出一种无需事先指定自回归和移动平均阶数的单位根检验方法,基于自回归近似,检验统计量可直接从回归软件获得,并给出了极限分布百分位数表。

Abstract

Recently, methods for detecting unit roots in autoregressive and autoregressive-moving average time series have been proposed. The presence of a unit root indicates that the time series is not stationary but that differencing will reduce it to stationarity. The tests proposed to date require specification of the number of autoregressive and moving average coefficients in the model. In this paper we develop a test for unit roots which is based on an approximation of an autoregressive-moving average model by an autoregression. The test statistic is standard output from most regression programs and has a limit distribution whose percentiles have been tabulated. An example is provided.

时间序列分析单位根检验计量经济学自回归移动平均模型