不专心的生产者

Inattentive Producers

Review of Economic Studies · 2006
被引 366
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

研究信息获取成本如何影响生产者的定价和产量决策,解释其为何不频繁更新信息,并构建模型拟合战后通胀数据,对宏观经济学和通胀预测研究者有参考价值。

Abstract

I present and solve the problem of a producer who faces costs of acquiring, absorbing, and processing information. I establish a series of theoretical results describing the producer's behaviour. First, I find the conditions under which the producer prefers to set a plan for the price he or she charges, or instead prefers to set a plan for the quantity he or she sells. Second, I show that the agent rationally chooses to be inattentive to news, only sporadically updating his or her information. I solve for the optimal length of inattentiveness and characterize its determinants. Third, I explicitly aggregate the behaviour of many such producers. I apply these results to a model of inflation. I find that the model can fit the quantitative facts on post-war inflation remarkably well, that it is a good forecaster of future inflation, and that it survives the Lucas critique by fitting also the pre-war facts on inflation moderately well. Copyright 2006, Wiley-Blackwell.

信息获取成本价格计划数量计划非注意更新