间接推断

Indirect inference

Journal of Applied Econometrics · 1993
被引 1036 · 同刊同年前 4%
人大 AABS 3

中文导读

提出一种基于错误准则的推断方法,通过模拟得到参数的一致估计量,适用于难以直接分析的复杂模型。

Abstract

In this paper we present inference methods which are based on an ‘incorrect’ criterion, in the sense that the optimization of this criterion does not directly provide a consistent estimator of the parameter of interest. Moreover, the argument of the criterion, called the auxiliary parameter, may have a larger dimension than that of the parameter of interest. A second step, based on simulations, provides a consistent and asymptotically normal estimator of the parameter of interest. Various testing procedures are also proposed. The methods described in this paper only require that the model can be simulated, therefore they should be useful for models whose complexity rules out a direct approach. Various fields of applications are suggested (microeconometrics, finance, macroeconometrics).

间接推断模拟估计渐近正态性模型仿真