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石油市场间的波动溢出效应

Volatility Spillovers Across Petroleum Markets

The Energy Journal · 2014
被引 11
人大 BABS 3

中文导读

利用新定义的指标,检测了原油、汽油和取暖油之间波动溢出的不对称性,发现2001年后溢出增强与商品金融化相关,2008年后溢出模式改变且负收益引起的溢出大于正收益。

Abstract

By using our newly defined measure, we detect and quantify asymmetries in the volatility spillovers of petroleum commodities: crude oil, gasoline, and heating oil. The increase in volatility spillovers after 2001 correlates with the progressive fin-ancialization of the commodities. Further, increasing spillovers from volatility among petroleum commodities substantially change their pattern after 2008 (the financial crisis and advent of tight oil production). After 2008, asymmetries in spillovers markedly declined in terms of total as well as directional spillovers. In terms of asymmetries we also show that overall volatility spillovers due to negative (price) returns materialize to a greater degree than volatility spillovers due to positive returns. An analysis of directional spillovers reveals that no petroleum commodity dominates other commodities in terms of general spillover transmission.

金融经济学能源经济学计量经济学大宗商品市场