平稳随机过程阶数m的最大似然估计

Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Order m for Stationary Stochastic Processes

Biometrika · 1983
被引 4
ABS 4

中文导读

针对似然函数难以计算的问题,提出用最近m个观测值的条件密度近似对数似然,给出估计量的渐近性质,并通过数值比较验证效果。

Abstract

SUMMARY Sometimes the likelihood cannot be computed even introducing approximations whose effect is asymptotically negligible. To overcome this problem for inference from a stochastic process, we approximate the log likelihood by a sum whose generic term is the density function of the corresponding sample element conditional on the m most recent observations, for some m ≥ 0. General results on the asymptotic properties of the associated estimates are given, and numerical comparisons with other estimators are carried out in special cases.

统计学时间序列分析计量经济学随机过程