The CAPM is Wanted, Dead or Alive
反驳了Kothari等人关于年度贝塔与平均收益关系更强、账面市值比效应被幸存者偏差夸大的观点,指出幸存者偏差无法解释账面市值比效应,且年度与月度贝塔对贝塔溢价的推断一致,但贝塔本身无法解释预期收益,因此CAPM仍不成立。
Kothari, Shanken, and Sloan (1995) claim that βs from annual returns produce a stronger positive relation between β and average return than βs from monthly returns. They also contend that the relation between average return and book-to-market equity (BE/ME) is seriously exaggerated by survivor bias. We argue that survivor bias does not explain the relation between BE/ME and average return. We also show that annual and monthly βs produce the same inferences about the β premium. Our main point on the β premium is, however, more basic. It cannot save the Capital asset pricing model (CAPM), given the evidence that β alone cannot explain expected return.