关于劳动力调整经济学的评论:注意差距——来自蒙特卡洛实验的证据

A Comment on the Economics of Labor Adjustment: Mind the Gap: Evidence from a Monte Carlo Experiment

American Economic Review · 2009
被引 6
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

重新评估了Cooper和Willis(2003,2004)的一个发现,即用静态目标近似动态调整目标会错误支持非凸调整成本。作者指出,生产率过程的数值近似精度是关键,更精确的近似下这种错误很少发生。

Abstract

This comment addresses a point raised in Russell Cooper and Jonathan Willis (2003, 2004), which discusses whether the “gap approach” is appropriate to describe the adjustment of production factors. They show that this approach to labor adjustment as applied in Ricardo J. Caballero, Eduardo Engel, and John C. Haltiwanger (1997) and Caballero and Engel (1993) can falsely generate evidence in favor of nonconvex adjustment costs, even if costs are quadratic. Simulating a dynamic model of firm-level employment decisions with quadratic adjustment costs and estimating a gap model from the simulated data, they identify two factors producing this spurious evidence: approximating dynamic adjustment targets by static ones, and estimating the static targets themselves. This comment reassesses whether the first factor indeed leads to spurious evidence in favor of fixed adjustment costs. We show that the numerical approximation of the productivity process is pivotal for Cooper and Willis's finding. With more precise approximations of the productivity process, it becomes rare to falsely reject the quadratic adjustment cost model due to the approximation of dynamic targets by static ones.

劳动调整成本缺口方法非凸调整成本二次调整成本蒙特卡洛实验