Risk assessment
这首短诗以中世纪法国诗体讽刺风险评估的局限性,通过对比历史预测手段,提醒人们最大的风险是无法预见的。
Purpose This short poem seeks to encapsulate a cynical view of the value of risk assessment. Design/methodology/approach The poem was written at the time of the collapse of the banks, despite their elaborate risk assessments. It juxtaposes modern belief in risk assessment with other historical and fallible means of prediction. The poem is a triolet, a medieval French form comprising one eight‐line stanza with a regular rhyming scheme and repetition of lines. It is concise, with nursery rhyme simplicity, and a refrain that sinks into the conscious. Findings The images of runes, the tarot, and astrology counterbalance the scientific language and basis of risk assessment and the hard‐nosed, factual business of insurance. Research limitations/implications The poem reminds us that the greatest risk is the one that is impossible to foresee. Originality/value The poem is unique in its use of a medieval French form to examine a modern phenomenon.