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预枢轴化以减少置信集的水平误差

Prepivoting to Reduce Level Error of Confidence Sets

Biometrika · 1987
被引 48
ABS 4

中文导读

提出预枢轴化方法,通过自助法估计根函数的累积分布来变换置信集根,迭代可减少置信集的实际水平与目标水平的误差,适用于参数估计的置信区间构建。

Abstract

Approximate confidence sets for a parameter θ may be obtained by referring a function of θ and of the sample to an estimated quantile of that function's sampling distribution. We call this function the root of the confidence set. Either asymptotic theory or bootstrap methods can be used to estimate the desired quantile. When the root is not a pivot, in the sense of classical statistics, the actual level of the approximate confidence set may differ substantially from the intended level. Prepivoting is the transformation of a confidence set root by its estimated bootstrap cumulative distribution function. Prepivoting can be iterated. Bootstrap confidence sets generated from a root prepivoted one or more times have smaller error in level than do confidence sets based on the original root. The first prepivoting is nearly equivalent to studentizing, when that operation is appropriate. Further iterations of prepivoting make higher order corrections automatically.

统计学置信区间自助法非参数统计置信分布