Why Are Child Poverty Rates Higher in Britain than in Germany? A Longitudinal Perspective
分析1990年代英国儿童贫困率高于西德的原因，发现贫困退出率低、进入率高是关键，且主要源于触发事件后贫困转变概率的差异，而非触发事件本身。
We analyse why child poverty rates were much higher in Britain than in Western Germany during the 1990s, using a framework that focuses on poverty transition rates.Child poverty exit rates were significantly lower, and poverty entry rates significantly higher, in Britain.We decompose these cross-national differences into differences in the prevalence of 'trigger events' (changes from one year to the next in household composition, household labour market attachment, and labour earnings), and differences in the chances of making a poverty transition conditional on experiencing a trigger event.It is the latter which are most important in accounting for the cross-national differences in poverty exit and entry rates.Standard errors (adjusted for repeated observations per household per year) are shown in parentheses.Events and poverty entries refer to changes between years t-1 and t; pr(event) estimates as in Table 4. a : Poverty line = 60% of contemporary national median income (as in Table 4).b : As (a), except poverty entry requires income to fall at least 10 percent below the poverty line.c : Poverty line = 60% of 1991 British median income.d : Poverty line = twentieth percentile of contemporary national income distribution for all persons.