Estimation of Survival in Marked Populations with Possibly Dependent Sighting Probabilities
提出了一类简单参数化模型，用于估计标记群体的生存概率，并允许检验观测概率之间的依赖性以及生存或观测概率的恒定性。通过模拟验证了依赖性检验的渐近性质在中等样本量下成立，并分析了忽略依赖性时生存概率估计的偏差。
A simply parameterized class of models for the estimation of survival probability in a marked population is introduced which allows tests of dependence between sighting probabilities and constancy of survival or sighting probabilities. Estimation and hypothesis testing based on the likelihood function are discussed. By simulation, the asymptotic properties of the test for dependence are shown to hold for quite modest sample sizes. The degree of bias in estimation of survival probabilities when dependence between sightings is not taken into account is shown to increase as the probability of a nonsighting following a nonsighting increases. A comprehensive analysis of the data from a mark-recapture experiment dealing with survival of abalone is given.