地缘政治事件向绿色市场传递机遇还是威胁?地缘政治风险的分项度量

Do geopolitical events transmit opportunity or threat to green markets? Decomposed measures of geopolitical risks

Energy Economics · 2022
被引 205 · 同刊同年前 6%
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

研究了绿色股票和绿色债券如何响应地缘政治风险的不同分项(如地缘政治行为、威胁等),发现除地缘政治行为外,其他风险分项在多数市场状态下对绿色投资传递正向冲击,而极端情况下地缘政治行为产生负向冲击。

Abstract

The growth of clean energies and technologies requires a sound financial market, while equity and bond markets are exposed to geopolitical risks. We investigate the response of green equity and green bonds to newly develop decomposed measures of geopolitical risks, including geopolitical acts, threats, and narrow and broad measures. To this end, we apply two robust methods; namely, the cross-quantilogram and quantile and quantile (QQ) approaches, to estimate the conditional and unconditional volatility spillovers considering short, medium, and long term. Surprisingly our empirical investigation demonstrates that all measures of geopolitical risk (except geopolitical acts) transmit positive shocks to the green investments (both equity and bonds) from bearish to bullish market states. At the bullish state, green markets respond negatively to the highest quantiles of all measures of geopolitical risks under a long memory. However, the geopolitical acts negatively shock the green bonds and green equity at some extreme quantiles. Our empirical findings are beneficial by transmitting opportunities and preventing risks for investment decision-making in the green markets, considering geopolitical risks.

绿色股权绿色债券地缘政治风险波动溢出