商品金融化与信息传递

Commodity Financialization and Information Transmission

Journal of Finance · 2022
被引 116
人大 A+FT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

构建模型分析商品期货金融化对期货价格信息含量、偏差、与其他市场的联动性以及金融交易预测能力的影响,并探讨其与实体经济的互动。

Abstract

ABSTRACT We provide a model to understand the effects of commodity futures financialization on various market variables. We distinguish between financial speculators and financial hedgers and study their separate and combined effects on the informativeness of futures prices, the futures price bias, the comovement of futures prices with other markets, and the predictiveness of financial trading. We capture the interactions between commodity futures financialization and the real economy through spot prices and production decisions. A dynamic extension illustrates how key variables change over time in a period of acute financialization in a way that is consistent with observed empirical patterns.

商品金融化期货价格信息含量价格偏差跨市场联动