Adaptive forecast-driven repositioning for dynamic ride-sharing
提出一种基于需求预测的闲置车辆重新定位算法，通过混合整数规划模型最大化未来请求接受率并最小化行驶时间，在四个城市真实数据上测试，相比基准方法将请求拒绝率平均降低3.5个百分点。
Abstract In dynamic ride-sharing systems, intelligent repositioning of idle vehicles often improves the overall performance with respect to vehicle utilization, request rejection rates, and customer waiting times. In this work, we present a forecast-driven idle vehicle repositioning algorithm. Our approach takes a demand forecast as well as the current vehicle fleet configuration as inputs and determines suitable repositioning assignments for idle vehicles. The core part of our approach is a mixed-integer programming model that aims to maximize the acceptance rate of anticipated future trip requests while minimizing vehicle travel times for repositioning movements. To account for changes in current trip demand and vehicle supply, our algorithm adapts relevant parameters over time. We embed the repositioning algorithm into a planning service for vehicle dispatching. We evaluate our forecast-driven repositioning approach through extensive simulation studies on real-world datasets from Hamburg, New York City, Manhattan, and Chengdu. The algorithm is tested assuming a perfect demand forecast and applying a naïve forecasting model. These serve as an upper and lower bound on state-of-the-art forecasting methods. As a benchmark algorithm, we utilize a reactive repositioning scheme. Compared to this, our forecast-driven approach reduces trip request rejection rates by an average of 3.5 percentage points and improves customer waiting and ride times.