The Effects of International Trade on Structural Convergence and CO2 Emissions
提出新计量模型，用面板数据分析国际贸易对各国产业结构趋同或分化的影响，发现贸易促进结构趋同但加剧了生产碳排放强度的分化。
Abstract This article introduces a new econometric model that includes an innovative measure of intersectoral structural change. This model describes the structural convergence (or divergence) of sector share patterns across countries (from the North-South or global perspective) influenced by international trade. The econometric analysis applies panel data estimators with different types of fixed effects to the 2013 and 2016 releases of the World Input-Output Database, covering the periods 1995–2009 and 2000–2014. The results show that international trade mostly promotes structural convergence, which is enhanced by sectoral capital intensities. It seems, however, that in this millennium, structural divergence, also fostered by international trade, occurred in terms of the CO $$_2$$ <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"> <mml:msub> <mml:mrow/> <mml:mn>2</mml:mn> </mml:msub> </mml:math> intensity of production.