自行随机化风险自负:论模糊厌恶的可观测性

Randomize at Your Own Risk: On the Observability of Ambiguity Aversion

Econometrica · 2022
被引 27
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

研究了实验中的随机激励系统是否会对模糊厌恶提供对冲,导致整合决策的受试者表现得像模糊中性,结果发现约一半的模糊厌恶者整合了选择,另一半则孤立决策。

Abstract

Facing several decisions, people may consider each one in isolation or integrate them into a single optimization problem. Isolation and integration may yield different choices, for instance, if uncertainty is involved, and only one randomly selected decision is implemented. We investigate whether the random incentive system in experiments that measure ambiguity aversion provides a hedge against ambiguity, making ambiguity‐averse subjects who integrate behave as if they were ambiguity neutral. Our results suggest that about half of the ambiguity averse subjects integrated their choices in the experiment into a single problem, whereas the other half isolated. Our design further enables us to disentangle properties of the integrating subjects' preferences over compound objects induced by the random incentive system and the choice problems in the experiment.

随机激励系统模糊厌恶复合彩票孤立决策整合决策