病菌、社交网络与增长

Germs, Social Networks, and Growth

Review of Economic Studies · 2021
被引 50
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

研究了社交网络结构如何通过影响技术扩散和疾病传播来影响经济增长,发现网络结构是内生于疾病环境的,模仿高收入国家的网络可能适得其反。

Abstract

Abstract Does the pattern of social connections between individuals matter for macroeconomic outcomes? If so, where do differences in these patterns come from and how large are their effects? Using network analysis tools, we explore how different social network structures affect technology diffusion and thereby a country’s rate of growth. The correlation between high-diffusion networks and income is strongly positive. But when we use a model to isolate the effect of a change in social networks on growth, the effect can be positive, negative, or zero. The reason is that networks diffuse both ideas and disease. Low-diffusion networks have evolved in countries where disease is prevalent because limited connectivity protects residents from epidemics. But a low-diffusion network in a low-disease environment compromises the diffusion of good ideas. In general, social networks have evolved to fit their economic and epidemiological environment. Trying to change networks in one country to mimic those in a higher-income country may well be counterproductive.

社会网络结构技术扩散经济增长疾病传播