Alcohol, Violence, and Injury-Induced Mortality: Evidence from a Modern-Day Prohibition
研究南非全国酒精销售禁令对伤害致死的影响,发现该政策使伤害致死率至少降低14%,同时暴力犯罪大幅下降,表明酒精与暴力行为紧密相关。
Abstract This paper evaluates the impact of a sudden and unexpected nationwide alcohol sales ban in South Africa. We find that this policy causally reduced injury-induced mortality in the country by at least 14%. We argue that this estimate constitutes a lower bound on the true impact of alcohol on injury-induced mortality. We also document a sharp drop in violent crimes, indicating a tight link between alcohol and aggressive behavior in society. Our results underscore the severe harm that alcohol can cause and point toward a role for policy measures that target the heaviest drinkers in society.