Early growing season weather variation, expectation formation and agricultural land allocation decisions in Ethiopia
利用7年作物数据，研究埃塞俄比亚玉米种植农户如何根据播种前天气变化调整土地分配，发现高温促使玉米种植向不适宜区扩张。
Abstract Using unique crop‐specific data gathered over 7 years, we study if and how maize‐producing farmers in Ethiopia adjust their land allocation decisions in response to pre‐planting‐season weather variations. We show that farmers adjust their land allocation decisions in response to increased temperatures early in the growing season. In addition to quantifying a substantial adaptation margin that has not been documented before, our study also reveals the presence of a weather variation‐induced expansion of maize production into areas that are less suitable for maize cultivation.