智慧城市、城市出行与自动驾驶汽车:不同城市如何需要不同的可持续投资策略

Smart cities, urban mobility and autonomous vehicles: How different cities needs different sustainable investment strategies

Technological Forecasting and Social Change · 2022
被引 110
ABS 3

中文导读

通过模拟比较不同城市采用自动驾驶汽车的场景,发现城市类型(如汽车中心型、创新中心型、高密度特大城市等)决定了最优的可持续投资策略,例如推广自动驾驶班车或微出行。

Abstract

The Smart city is important for sustainability. Governments engaged in developing urban mobility in the smart city need to invest their limited financial resources wisely to realize sustainability goals. A key area for such sustainability investment is how to implement and invest in emerging technologies for urban mobility solutions. However, current frameworks on how to understand the impact of emerging technologies aligned with long-term sustainability strategies are understudied. This article develops a simulation-based comparison between different cities and autonomous vehicle (AV) adoption scenarios to understand which aspects of cities lead to positive AV implementation outcomes. As urban mobility and cities will become smart, the analysis represents a first attempt to explore the impact of AVs on a large scale across different cities around the world. Archetypes are formed and account for most, if not all, world cities. For three of our archetypes (car-centric giants, prosperous innovation centers, and high-density megacities), promoting AV-shuttle use would deliver the greatest advantage as measured by improvements in the model's KPIs. To develop urban powerhouses, however, micromobility would deliver greater benefits. For highly compact middleweights, a shift from private cars to other non-AV modes of transportation would be the smartest choice.

智慧城市城市出行自动驾驶汽车可持续投资城市类型