🌙

决策中成对比较的高效抽样

Efficient sampling of pairwise comparisons in decision-making

Journal of the Operational Research Society · 2022
被引 2
ABS 3

中文导读

研究了在决策建模中,如何通过仅使用部分成对比较样本(平衡无偏样本或基于关键元素的样本)来获得可靠结果,并给出了理论证明和实例。

Abstract

Performing pairwise comparisons (PCs) that reflect preferences between pairs of decision-making elements is an approach widely used in decision modelling. For complex problems, the number of elements to be pairwise compared may be very large, something that may lead to a final calculation of not well-supported priorities and, as a consequence, to the drawing of wrong practical conclusions. Decision-making must usually be performed from the available incomplete body of information, and this article explores the possibility of producing reliable results by using just a sample of comparisons. We analyse and solve two specific cases of considerable interest: the sample consists of: (i) a balanced and unbiased set of PCs; and (ii) the PCs obtained by comparing all the elements against a reduced number of pivotal elements. This latter sample includes two practical cases: one in which the eliciting actor is more familiar with the pivotal specific elements; and another in which the Best-Worst method has been previously used to identify the two extreme elements under comparison. The approach employed, developed within linearisation theory, is supported with suitable proofs and examples.

决策建模成对比较抽样方法运筹学