Integrated Backup Rolling Stock Allocation and Timetable Rescheduling with Uncertain Time-Variant Passenger Demand Under Disruptive Events
针对轨道交通中断事件，提出两阶段随机优化模型，在不确定乘客需求下优化备用列车分配与时刻表重调度，以最小化乘客延误时间，并用北京地铁数据验证了有效性。
Railway traffic management focuses on regulating train movements and delivering improved service quality to passengers; however, such efforts are subject to many uncertainties in terms of disruptions and passenger demand on a rail transit line. In contrast to most existing studies, which focus on the rescheduling of passenger timetables in a deterministic framework, this study proposes a two-stage stochastic optimization model for allocating backup rolling stocks (BRS) to storage lines to reschedule the timetable and serve passengers delayed by disruptions. The first stage is an assignment problem to determine the optimal plan for the allocation of BRS to storage lines to achieve a good trade-off between the investment cost for the BRS and the expected travel time of delayed passengers across different stochastic scenarios. The second stage is explicitly formulated as a network flow model to optimize the timetable of the delayed trains on the tracks and the BRS from the storage lines such that the passenger travel time is minimized under each stochastic scenario. To improve the efficiency of convergence, we develop an improved L-shaped method with several accelerating techniques. Among these, we show that the classical integer L-shaped cut can be tightened given the property of the second-stage problem, which can also be generalized to other two-stage integer stochastic programs. Real-world case studies based on historical data from the Beijing metro verify the effectiveness of the proposed approach in reducing the travel time for passengers. History: Accepted by Pascal Van Hentenryck, Area Editor for Computational Modeling: Methods & Analysis. Funding: This research was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China [Grants 71621001, 71825004, and 71901016]. Supplemental Material: The software that supports the findings of this study is available within the paper and its Supplementary Information [ https://pubsonline.informs.org/doi/suppl/10.1287/ijoc.2022.1233 ] or is available from the IJOC GitHub software repository ( https://github.com/INFORMSJoC ) at [ http://dx.doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6892548 ].