Long-term care costs and obesity - projections for Poland
利用SHARE数据和欧盟宏观模拟模型，预测波兰50岁以上成年人肥胖对长期护理公共支出的影响，结果显示肥胖可能使2070年护理成本增加GDP的0.3%。
The share of both elderly and obese people in the population of many countries, including Poland in particular, will increase. The aim of the study is to investigate the impact of obesity of adults 50+ on public expenditures on long-term care in Poland. Using the Survey on Health Ageing and Retirement in Europe (SHARE) database and the European Commission macro-simulation model, we estimate long-term projection of long-term care costs of older adults depending on the level of obesity. Our results suggest that obese people are more likely to be disabled and obesity of adults 50+ may increase the long-term care costs by up to 0.3% of GDP in 2070 horizon.