Testing for Racial Prejudice in the Parole Board Release Process: Theory and Evidence
构建了一个假释委员会决定是否释放已服完最低刑期囚犯的模型，提出基于累犯率的种族偏见检验方法，并应用于宾夕法尼亚州1999-2003年数据，未发现种族偏见证据。
We develop a model of a parole board contemplating whether to grant parole release to a prisoner who has finished serving his minimum sentence. The model implies a simple outcome test for racial prejudice that is based on the released inmate’s rate of recidivism and is robust to the inframarginality problem. Our model has several testable implications for which we show empirical support. Applying our test to data on all prison releases in Pennsylvania between 1999 and 2003, we find no evidence of racial prejudice.