开放经济IS曲线的识别稳健经验证据

Identification Robust Empirical Evidence on the Open Economy IS‐Curve

Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics · 2022
被引 3
人大 AABS 3

中文导读

在开放经济框架下,使用对弱工具变量和结构变化稳健的计量方法,发现跨期替代弹性仍然很低,实际利率变化对总收入的效应很小。

Abstract

Abstract Existing empirical evidence on the Euler equation based on closed economy models suggests low responsiveness of aggregate consumption to changes in interest rates. We incorporate open economy features and consider extensions that include habit formation and hand‐to‐mouth consumers. For several open economies and applying econometric methods that are robust to weak instruments and structural changes, we continue to find low values for the elasticity of intertemporal substitution, implying a small effect of real interest rate changes on aggregate income. In some countries, structural changes are informative for identification, but otherwise aggregate data provide limited information to learn about IS‐curve specifications.

开放经济IS曲线跨期替代弹性弱工具变量结构变化