州立法机构中的选区划分:来自公理谈判的摩擦

Gerrymandering in State Legislatures: Frictions from Axiomatic Bargaining

American Economic Journal: Economic Policy · 2022
被引 6
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

将党派选区划分重新表述为控制地图的政党现任代表之间的谈判博弈,发现现状是威胁点,解释了为何变化通常很小;高度竞争的选区如果已由执政党代表,会从选区划分中获得更多帮助。

Abstract

Theories of partisan redistricting postulate unitary actors maximizing their party’s expected seat share. Yet, the partition of a fixed supply of friendly voters necessarily implies a tragedy of the commons. We recast partisan redistricting as a bargaining game among the sitting representatives of the party controlling the map. The status quo is the threat point, explaining why changes are frequently minor. This bargaining framework implies that highly competitive districts will receive more help from redistricting if they are already represented by the party in charge. Employing a regression discontinuity design with precinct-level data, we find support for this prediction.

选区划分博弈党派重新划分选区议价理论断点回归设计