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在新冠疫情、高通胀和乌克兰战争背景下分析大宗商品价格:詹姆斯·汉密尔顿访谈录

Analyzing Commodity Prices in the Context of COVID-19, High Inflation, and the Ukrainian War: An Interview with James Hamilton

The Energy Journal · 2022
被引 12
人大 BABS 3

中文导读

这篇2022年9月对詹姆斯·汉密尔顿的访谈,通过20个问题探讨了新冠疫情和乌克兰战争期间大宗商品价格波动的原因、对经济和通胀的影响,以及未来价格走势和能源转型前景。

Abstract

The following interview with Prof. James Hamilton was conducted in September 2022 by Dr. Fredj Jawadi with the assistance of Professor Adonis Yatchew in association with the 6th International Workshop on Financial Markets and Nonlinear Dynamics (FMND) held in Paris, France. The interview includes 20 questions related to commodity price dynamics. The aim of the discussion was, first, to help readers gain a better understanding of the factors driving commodity price volatility during the COVID-19 pandemic. Second, we analyzed commodity reactions to the ongoing Ukrainian war. Third, we examined the impact of changes in commodity prices on the economy as a whole and on inflation in particular. Finally, we discussed projections related to the dynamics of commodity prices in the future and the impact on the energy transition process. We hope that this interview will give readers clearer insights into the causes and consequences of commodity price changes and their evolution over time.

大宗商品通货膨胀宏观经济学能源转型金融经济学