锂与绿色氢能的可持续管理及电动汽车的长期前景

Sustainable management of lithium and green hydrogen and long-run perspectives of electromobility

Technological Forecasting and Social Change · 2022
被引 40
ABS 3

中文导读

本文评估锂在电动汽车长期发展中的作用,指出全球锂供应集中且市场寡头化,当前锂基电动汽车不可持续,仅作为过渡技术,最终应转向绿色氢燃料电池。

Abstract

The present paper assesses the prospective role of lithium in the long-run development of electromobility. Based on the existing data, the study shows that the geographical concentration of global lithium riches and rather an oligopolistic market structure of the worldwide primary supply makes the global lithium supply vulnerable to unexpected shocks. Furthermore, the work finds that the current transition to lithium-based electromobility does not exhibit traits of strong or long-term sustainability. This is attributed to the limits of lithium endowments, the negligible recycling capabilities of lithium-ion batteries, and environmental degradation induced by the transition to lithium-ion battery-based electromobility. We conclude that lithium-ion battery-based electromobility is a meaningful bridging technology until the time when lithium-ion batteries could be reliably replaced by the strong sustainability paradigm of road mobility, epitomized by the green hydrogen fuel cells-based electromobility.

环境经济学可持续交通能源经济学电池技术资源管理