保持听众参与:贝叶斯说服的动态模型

Keeping the Listener Engaged: A Dynamic Model of Bayesian Persuasion

Journal of Political Economy · 2022
被引 22
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

研究了信息生成和处理都有成本、且双方无法承诺未来行动时,动态贝叶斯说服的效果,发现成本足够小时可实现近似最优说服或完全揭示。

Abstract

We consider a dynamic model of Bayesian persuasion in which information takes time and is costly for the sender to generate and for the receiver to process, and neither player can commit to their future actions. Persuasion may totally collapse in a Markov perfect equilibrium of this game. However, for persuasion costs sufficiently small, a version of a folk theorem holds: outcomes that approximate Kamenica and Gentzkow’s sender-optimal persuasion as well as full revelation and everything in between are obtained in Markov perfect equilibrium as the cost vanishes.

贝叶斯说服动态模型马尔可夫完美均衡信息成本