疫情下的波动溢出、对冲与避险:闪光的未必都是金子!

Volatility spillovers, hedging and safe‐havens under pandemics: All that glitters is not gold!

International Journal of Finance and Economics · 2022
被引 24
ABS 3

中文导读

研究新冠疫情下金融资产间的波动溢出效应,发现黄金是最稳健的对冲和避险资产,而比特币的避险效果不稳定。

Abstract

Abstract In the context of the COVID‐19's outbreak and its implications for the financial sector, this study analyses the aspect of hedging and safe‐haven under the pandemic. Drawing on the daily data from 02 August 2019 to 17 April 2020, our key findings suggest that the contagious effects in financial assets' returns significantly increased under COVID‐19, indicating exacerbated market risk. The connectedness spiked in the middle of March, consistent with lockdown timings in major economies. The effect became severe with the WHO's declaration of a pandemic, confirming negative news effects. The return connectedness suggests that COVID‐19 has been a catalyst of contagious effects on the financial markets. The crude oil and the government bonds are however not as much affected by the spillovers as their endogenous innovation. In terms of spillovers, we do find the safe‐haven function of Gold and Bitcoin. Comparatively, the safe‐haven effectiveness of Bitcoin is unstable over the pandemic. Whereas, GOLD is the most promising hedge and safe‐haven asset, as it remains robust during the current crisis of COVID‐19 and thus exhibits superiority over Bitcoin and Tether. Our findings are useful for investors, portfolio managers and policymakers interested in spillovers and safe havens during the current pandemic.

金融经济学宏观经济学疫情经济学资产定价风险管理